GANA's Bukele with a sizable lead in El Salvador

As of right now, former San Salvador Mayor Nayib Bukele remains the front-runner for next year's presidential election in El Salvador. According to a recent CID Gallup poll, Bukele has the support of 38% of all Salvadorans. He is followed by Carlos Calleja of ARENA with 24%. Hugo Martinez of the incumbent FMLN is in a distant third with an embarrassing 5%. Martinez' polling gives you a sense of how dissatisfied Salvadorans are of the FMLN after nearly three terms of controlling the presidency.

The election is six months away, the margin of error +/- 3.5, and one-third of the respondents to the late July poll don't have a preference. It's not too late for the FMLN or ARENA to make some head way against Bukele. However, their strategy these last few weeks seems to have been to prevent Bukele from competing in the election. Lawsuits, the hindering of his political party from forming, the cancellation of the CD.

Bukele is now the candidate of Tony Saca's GANA. Running with GANA is worse than running with the CD but better than not running at all. Unfortunately, there are a lot of shadowy elements associated with GANA. To be honest, though, you can say the same about each of El Salvador's political parties.

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